KELVIN DAVIS ENDORSED BY HONE

Our Hone - not the whingy whiny Hone - Hone Key.

John Key reckons that Kelvin Davis will win Te Tai Tokerau. And he will. We have no doubt that National will have been polling the crap out of the electorate and already know what way the cards will fall.

And we think that the Maori Party deliberately put up Solomon Tipene so that the focus would be on a two horse race.
We also expect in the final few days that Solomon will concede and tell his supporters to put their votes firmly in behind Davis.

Dover Samuels also makes a good suggestion and one that has in some part been actioned - and that is that the National party Maori supporters should be asked to vote Kelvin. Keys proclaimation on the likely outcome of Te Tai Tokerau goes part way to addressing that and Dover also underestimates something else - right leaning voters are smart - they will vote strategically as a matter of course.

And why do we think that Northern voters should vote Kelvin Davis? We he is simply the most exciting Maori MP Labour has in its ranks for decades. He is Ministerial material.

New Zealand washed away the political stain that was Winston Peters at the last election - We are confident that Maori in the Far North will see that by supporting Kelvin Davis they will have a better future - With Hone all they will get is a reminder of a bitter past.

IPREDICT ADDICTION

We now know why we haven't traded shares since the crash of 87 when we pretty much lost our shirt.

We have spent $40 on Ipredict - took us a bit to get how it worked but now we are fine.. Its a marketers wet dream.

At the moment all our attention is on the race for Te Tai Tokerau which we think Kelvin Davis will win.

And the stocks are climbing all the time.

Due in large part to some people finally realising that Hone's support does not run that deep and most Maori in the Far North are sensible enough to see that he is not the man to take them to the promised land.

In contrast Labours Kelvin Davis might be a bit pink for a Maori but he is by all accounts a very well respected bloke.

We are definitely not in the minority in thinking that Hone is toast.

So we think that Ipredict is easy money.

HONE THE EGG

Yip. thats our prediction. We have consistently said that Hone's problem in the North is that is supporters are of the all Hat no Horse ilk. In other words they are the most moany groany, pack of whingy whiny, look back, look down, blame everyone else, take no responsibility - bunch of losers on the planet.

They might like Hone but they wont get out of bed to vote for him. On the other hand Kelvin Davis inspires. So people will go out of their way to support him.

We said to a well known commentator a while back that Hone was like a free range egg. Everyone says they eat them but the Egg industry sells more battery eggs. People lie.

In the North its fashionable to be Hone hugger. But that does not translate to actually making an effort to vote .

So our prediction ? Kelvin will win the seat. The Egg is showing his crack.

STATE TV THE NEW HONE CUDDLERS?

Its starting to look like TVNZ, - in particular Te Karere, are helping Hone Harawira run his election campaign for Te Tai Tokerau.

We get up pretty early, like most country folks - so we get to see the repeat of the night before Te Karere programme with the added bonus of sub titles- which is pretty useful for us southern white chocolate half caste muttonbirders who aren't much chop at te reo.

And lo and behold - who's up first but Hone - waxing lyrical about all sorts of stuff. Its not the first time and as we watch Te Karere nearly every morning we have come to form the opinion that the state funded Maori news programme are Hone cuddlers and are anti the Maori party.

Someone needs to tell those who have editorial control of this programme to pull their heads in and show some balance.

We want to see more probing interviewing - rather than allowing Hone to slag off everyone else.

A wise kaumatua said to us the other day that Hone was good at promotion - of himself. He is and we think he is being ably supported in his cause by some sychophants on the Te Karere team.

The people of Northland deserve better - and they need to vote strategically for Kelvin Davis - a man with real Mana.

HEY NGA PUHI - VOTE FOR A TINOPAI TANE

If Maori in the far north dont want to appear to be the silliest boiledheads in NZ then they should vote for Kelvin.

Strategic voting is Mean Maori Mean